Boxing: Joshua vs Miller Betting Odds and Prediction

Among the baddest men on the planet is set to make his USA debut as Anthony”AJ” Joshua stands toe to toe with Jarrell”Big Baby” Miller in Madison Square Garden on June 1. Joshua is defending his WBA (Super), IBF, WBO and IBO heavyweight titles, also is a -850 favorite to retain his names, while Miller is coming back as a +525 underdog. Both heavy hitters may enter the ring with records.

Odds Analysis
Miller has been a huge favorite in his last eight fights, closing as a four-digit favorite in six of these bouts, with his lowest chances being -250 when he battled Gerald Washington in July 2017 — a struggle Miller won via eighth-round retirement.

Meanwhile, Joshua has been a favorite in each of his last seven scraps and his chances for this battle are right across the average with his largest odds being when he fought Eric Molina (-4000). The tightest odds AJ has had was when he fought Wladimir Klitschko to win the WBA and IBO heavyweight straps — the England native closed at -200 for this particular bout.

AJ holds three of the four major heavyweight titles and, in age 29, he is at the prime of his career so that it comes as no surprise that he is a large favorite to beat Big Baby, who’s making a big jump in competition.

Will this fight play out?
Joshua (-850) is placing his perfect 22-0 record at stake, coming off an impressive seventh-round TKO victory over Alexander Povetkin in September of last year. Before that knockout victory, AJ went to the judges’ scorecards for the first time in his professional career with Joseph Parker, snapping his streak of 20 straight wins by T/KO.

The Brit always pressures his opponents, taking the center of this ring and then slowly backing down them looking to land his strong right hand. Joshua also does a fantastic job setting his range with his long left jab he works nicely behind, once again seeking to land his thunderous right. Additionally, he’s got a fantastic ability at judging distances and will sit just outside of his competitors’ scope but close enough that he can spring forward with a counterattack.

Miller (+525) can also be seeking to stay undefeated in his career, with only four fights going the distance, among them ending in a draw after four rounds in 2013. Of Enormous Baby’s 23 specialist wins, 20 have been by knockout, including his last two. The New York native went the full 12 rounds with Johann Duhaupas in April of this past year, ending his string of nine consecutive bouts with knockout victories.

The orthodox fighter uses his large frame to walk his opponents down searching for a chance to fire his heavy right hand. Large Baby has scary knockout power in his hands, but his punches are slow and he lunges forward behind his left jab to close the space.

AJ is clearly the athletic boxer and he will have to use that rate and movement to pick apart Miller from the exterior before he can find his openings to perform damage. Meanwhile, Large Baby will get to place himself in real danger to conquer the reach disadvantage he is going to face and get in close to let his hands fly. Overall, I believe that AJ is simply going to be too difficult to hit and ought to be in a position to deal with this fight easily.

Read more here:

Comments are closed.